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2024-12-14 11:33:50

Chen Guo, China Securities: The 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in all directions, and the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Chen Guo, chief strategy officer of China Securities, said that the meeting had seven highlights, including clarifying the growth target and fiscal and monetary policy measures, expanding domestic demand in all directions as the top priority of the policy, focusing on "AI+" in science and technology, focusing on implementation of reform measures, paying attention to coping with external shocks in opening up, strengthening the expression of real estate policies, and increasing efforts to improve people's livelihood. Chen Guo said that further RRR cuts and interest rate cuts from the end of 2024 to 2025 are worth looking forward to, and the easing of the liquidity environment has become a market consensus. However, this does not mean that liquidity is rampant, because the growth of money supply in the scale of social financing still continues the requirement of matching the expected target of the overall price level of economic growth. Chen Guo believes that the 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the strength and direction of the policy are in line with expectations. With the support of policy expectations and liquidity, it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of volatility. From the perspective of investment strategy, Chen Guo suggested focusing on non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain and other sectors. In terms of theme, it is suggested to pay attention to investment opportunities such as "duality" and "two innovations", supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises and CSI A500 index.The 30-year main contract of treasury bond futures rose to 0.62%, which continued to hit a new high. In addition, the 10-year main contract rose by 0.37%, the 5-year main contract rose by 0.27%, and the 2-year main contract rose by 0.09%, which was another record.The concept of starting economy continued to strengthen, and the direction of exhibition and IP economy led the rise. Miao Exhibition, Liard and Guangbo shares rose daily, Fengshang Culture and Zhongqingbao rose by more than 10%, and Tianxiaxiu, Dafeng Industry, Silk Road Vision and Aoya shares were among the top gainers.


What is the significance of fiscal and monetary policy adjustment? Expert: The path of "more active and promising" fiscal policy has been clarified. The Central Economic Work Conference, which closed yesterday, pointed out that a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy should be implemented next year. What kind of signals are released behind these policies? In terms of fiscal policy, the Central Economic Work Conference requested that a more active fiscal policy should be implemented next year, so as to improve the fiscal deficit ratio, increase the issuance of ultra-long-term special government bonds, increase the issuance of special bonds for local governments, optimize the structure of fiscal expenditure, and secure the bottom line of "three guarantees" at the grassroots level. Experts said that these requirements clarified the path of "more active and promising" fiscal policy. Focusing on vigorously boosting consumption, the Central Economic Work Conference requires that special actions to boost consumption should be implemented next year, the basic pension for retirees should be appropriately raised, and the "two new" policies (large-scale equipment renewal and trade-in of consumer goods) should be implemented. (CCTV News)Geely applied for the unbounded intelligent cabin and the unbounded intelligent cabin. According to the information of intellectual property rights, Zhejiang Geely Holding Group Co., Ltd. recently applied for the registration of the trademarks of "Geely Unbounded Intelligent Cabin" and "Geely Unbounded Intelligent Cabin", which are internationally classified as scientific instruments and means of transport. The current trademark status is awaiting substantive examination.The real estate sector fluctuated and fell, and many shares such as gemdale fell by more than 5%. Qixia Construction once approached the daily limit, and many shares such as gemdale, Everbright Jiabao, Urban Construction Development, Shoukai Shares and Greenland Holdings fell by more than 5%.


Hyundai Motor set up 200 million technology companies in Shanghai, including a number of AI-related businesses. According to Tianyancha App, Hyundai Kemo (Shanghai) Technology Co., Ltd. was recently established, with NOH YONG HO as the legal representative and a registered capital of 213 million RMB. Its business scope includes application system integration services in artificial intelligence industry, Internet of Things application services, data processing services, artificial intelligence basic software development, artificial intelligence application software development, artificial intelligence theory and algorithm software development, etc. According to shareholder information, the company is wholly owned by Hyundai Motor Co., Ltd.Chen Guo, China Securities: The 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in all directions, and the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Chen Guo, chief strategy officer of China Securities, said that the meeting had seven highlights, including clarifying the growth target and fiscal and monetary policy measures, expanding domestic demand in all directions as the top priority of the policy, focusing on "AI+" in science and technology, focusing on implementation of reform measures, paying attention to coping with external shocks in opening up, strengthening the expression of real estate policies, and increasing efforts to improve people's livelihood. Chen Guo said that further RRR cuts and interest rate cuts from the end of 2024 to 2025 are worth looking forward to, and the easing of the liquidity environment has become a market consensus. However, this does not mean that liquidity is rampant, because the growth of money supply in the scale of social financing still continues the requirement of matching the expected target of the overall price level of economic growth. Chen Guo believes that the 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the strength and direction of the policy are in line with expectations. With the support of policy expectations and liquidity, it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of volatility. From the perspective of investment strategy, Chen Guo suggested focusing on non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain and other sectors. In terms of theme, it is suggested to pay attention to investment opportunities such as "duality" and "two innovations", supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises and CSI A500 index.Japanese Prime Minister's Assistant: Japan must be prepared for Trump to impose tariffs. Japanese Prime Minister's Assistant Akihisa Nagashima said that Japan needs to be prepared for US President-elect Trump's threat to impose tariffs on China, Canada and Mexico, and adjust the supply chain to reduce the collateral damage suffered by Japanese enterprises. In an interview with the media on Thursday, Akihisa Nagashima said that he had "frank" communication with Trump team members on tariff issues during his recent visit to the United States. "I realized that Japan must be ready for Trump to implement his plan," he said. Akihisa Nagashima said that these tariff measures may encourage Japan to reduce its dependence on these three countries, where some Japanese companies operate and parts made in Japan are transported to these three countries to manufacture finished products for export to the United States. "Japanese companies will certainly try to restructure the supply chain," he pointed out. "This is economically reasonable." (Interface News)

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